Macro Intel

The FOMC meeting is coming up — are you ready? Macro Intel puts the Fed rate, next meeting countdown, and key macro indicators directly inside Polymarket. No tab switching, no digging through economic calendars.

Open it via the Econ icon in the right-side panel navigation.

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What the Panel Shows

Fed Rate & Context

• Current Fed Rate — the benchmark federal funds rate with the most recent change (e.g., 3.75% +0.25 pp)
• Rate context banner — plain English interpretation of the current rate direction:

  • Rate cut → risk-on — easing cycle supports upside bets
  • Rate hike → risk-off — tightening cycle suppresses risk assets
• Rate chart — historical rate path showing the full tightening/easing cycle
• Range Position — where the current rate sits relative to the recent cycle range (e.g., "At period low")

Next Release

The panel counts down to the next FOMC announcement:

• Date — exact meeting date (e.g., Tue, Apr 28)
• Countdown — days until the decision (e.g., 12 days / Soon)
• Visual urgency indicator — highlighted when the meeting is approaching

This is the single most important date for Fed rate markets on Polymarket.

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Related Indicators

Each indicator shows: current value, recent change, a mini chart, a signal label, and a plain English interpretation.

Yield Curve

What it is	Spread between long and short-term Treasury yields
Signal	Neutral / Inverted (recession warning) / Steep (growth signal)
Example read	"Normal curve — no recession signal from bonds"
Time selector	1W · 1M · 3M · 1Y

Unemployment

What it is	US unemployment rate
Signal	Neutral / Supports cuts / Against cuts
Example read	"Elevated unemployment supports dovish Fed"
Time selector	3M · 6M · 1Y · 3Y

CPI YoY

What it is	Consumer Price Index year-over-year inflation rate
Signal	For cuts / Neutral / Against cuts
Example read	"Hot inflation — Fed likely to hold or hike"
Time selector	3M · 6M · 1Y · 3Y

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How to Use It

For Fed rate decision markets (e.g., "Will the Fed cut rates in [month]?"):

1. Check the Next Release date — is the meeting within the market's resolution window?
2. Read each indicator's signal label — are they aligned (all dovish / all hawkish) or mixed?
3. Inflation (CPI) + Unemployment + Yield Curve together paint the picture: if CPI is "Against cuts" but Unemployment is "Supports cuts", the Fed faces a dilemma — markets tend to price uncertainty, creating trading opportunities

For crypto and equity markets tied to Fed expectations:

1. Check the rate context banner — are we in a rate cut cycle (risk-on) or hike cycle (risk-off)?
2. Macro shifts often move crypto and stock markets before formal announcements

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Markets Where This Panel Activates

• Federal Reserve rate decision markets
• FOMC meeting outcome markets
• Inflation / CPI markets
• GDP and unemployment data markets
• Any crypto, equity, or financial market where macro policy is relevant